Monday, November 2, 2020

On Election Day, 2020, will America choose the President who will preside over the second American Civil War?


Tomorrow is Tuesday, November 3, 2020. It will be the day the US decides who will be its next President--the incumbent, Donald Trump, or his challenger, Joe Biden. Even now, less than 24 hours before election day, no one in the US knows who will win.

America is uncertain. Very uncertain. US polls show Trump consistently behind challenger Biden. The last NBC/WSJ poll taken before the election had Biden ahead by a double-digit margin (here). With an estimated lead this big, it sure looks like Biden will win, right?

Don't be so certain. Are the polls accurate? 

They weren't accurate in the last Presidential election. Remember, on the day of that election (November 8, 2016), candidate Hillary Clinton had an 85% chance of winning; Trump, a 15% chance (here). We know how that worked out: Clinton lost.

Now, as of October 28, 2020, Biden's chance of winning was almost the same: 76.4% (here in the next-to-last-paragraph). Was this accurate?

The polls say, yes. But what about the supposed existence of what some call, the "shy" Trump voter (here)--that is, pro-Trump poll respondents who have consistently refused to tell pollsters for whom they will truly vote--for fear of being "judged" (here)? Some speculate (here) that if such voters exist, Biden might not win. 

If all of these supposed "shy" Trump voters vote, they could give Trump another four years--and confound the polls. Will this happen in 2020? 

We don't know. 

Meanwhile, Trump's opponent, Joe Biden, has his own election problems. Will his message resonate with enough Americans to enable him to win? 

Biden's message is clear: he aims to change America for "generations to come" (here). Some Republicans say that Democrat Biden's call for 'change-for-generations-to-come" is a call to make America socialist (here). Will voters believe this  Republican claim--or Democrat Biden? 

No one knows.

Videos on youtube show one candidate as a man who doesn't always seem to know what office he's running for or who is his opponent. Internet essays call the other candidate 'fascist', dictator' and 'murderer'. Voters see these videos and accusations. Will such videos and words affect voter ballot decisions?

No one knows.

One candidate is called corrupt. The other is called liar. At times, one candidate can't seem to speak a complete, coherent sentence. The other candidate, it is said, is simply "unfit" to be President.

Why does America see these candidates in these terms? Because that's how the media presents them. Apparently, the media appears to see this election as a contest between the mentally diminished vs the mentally unfit.

The media has failed America. When 92% of media coverage of one candidate is negative, there's a a problem. The media is supposed to be balanced. When the media chooses to present one candidate through a 92% negative filter, the media is no longer balanced. It becomes partisan. That's not the reason the media exists. It exists to be balanced.

The media has stopped telling the truth. For example, this past summer, while multiple buildings in multiple downtowns in multiple cities across America were set afire by rioters, several national reporters on the scene ignored the rioting . They ignored the fires. Instead,  they reported, 'we have here mostly peaceful protests...' While they spoke, their camera crews pointed cameras directly at the businesses behind the reporters. The businesses were engulfed in sky-high flames.

 While these national media reporters appeared to be saying, 'riots and fires? what riots and fires? I haven't seen any riots and fires', more and more essays about revolution and civil war in America appeared on the internet. More youtube videos began to ask, 'is America on the verge of revolution?'

Privately, ordinary people saw the rioting--and began to worry about civil war. Privately, people began to ignore the media. Privately--very privately--people across America began to prepare for a civil war (here).

Does anyone really believe that America's streets will erupt in open warfare in November, 2020? Well, American businessmen believe this. That's why, in cities like Washington, DC, New York, San Francisco and elsewhere businessmen rush to board up and shut down their main-street businesses. They want to protect their wealth from the oncoming riots--and the firestorms they believe will happen--no matter who wins the election (here).

Is America getting ready to be set alight after the 2020 election? Do more riots in America in turn mean that the next President of the United States will preside over America's second civil war?

From where I sit, America certainly looks like it teeters at the edge of either a civil war--or the beginning of extended "Days of Rage" that will look like a civil war but won't last long enough to become a civil war.  Either way, it certainly looks like America will burn.

Can Americans remain safe in such an environment?  Will Jews be safe? Will the new President be safe? 

You tell me.




No comments:

Post a Comment