On
Wednesday, June 6, 2012, the Israel Knesset rejected a proposed ‘Regulation Law’ that would have prevented a
court-ordered destruction of five apartment buildings (housing thirty families)
in the neighbourhood of Ulpana, in the town of Beit El, in Judea-Samaria. These families will now be removed from their
apartments (‘homes’). Despite suggestions to the contrary, the apartments will probably
be destroyed. Before the vote, we were warned of disasters for the Nationalists
if this bill failed. These disasters ranged from Netanyahu divorcing himself from
the Nationalist camp to a ‘Judgment Day’ destruction of Likud to a Gush
Katif-style ‘Disengagement Two’ expulsion of thousands of Jews from homes
throughout Judea-Samaria. Any (or all) of these outcomes could still occur. But
did this one vote create a Nationalist disaster? The answer to that question
might depend upon the Nationalists themselves.
Look at the
immediate fallout from the vote. No mass
expulsions have occurred. The settlement
enterprise has not been ruined. More
important, opportunities may have actually been created by that vote.
Do a before-and-after comparison:
-Before the
vote, one of the major obstacles to ‘settlement’ was Defense Minister Ehud
Barak, currently Military Governor of Judea-Samaria. He has stubbornly refused
to sign building permits for authorized construction.
If Netanyahu said, ‘build’, Barak could—and did—unilaterally halt construction
by refusing to issue permits.
-After the
vote, the Prime Minister has decided to form a committee ‘to strengthen
settlement’, a move that could limit the range of Barak’s discretion.
Consequence of the vote: a potential plus
for Judea-Samaria.
-Before the
vote, authorization to build in Judea-Samaria was difficult to get.
-After the
vote, the Prime Minister has promised 300 new homes for Beit El—to replace
those that will be destroyed; and an additional 550+ for other areas in
Judea-Samaria.
Consequence of the vote: a potential plus
for Judea-Samaria.
-Before the
vote, the Prime Minister suggested often that he felt no attachment to Judea-Samaria.
-After the
vote, the Prime Minister made three statements: Judea-Samaria is the land of
our Patriarchs; our identity was formed there; and, he is committed to
upholding the settlement enterprise.
Consequence of the vote: a potential
plus for Judea-Samaria.
None of this
suggests a Nationalist victory. Nothing
here hints at a sea-change for Netanyahu. The Nationalist enterprise is still
at risk. Nevertheless, the initial fallout of this vote did not provoke an evisceration
of Nationalist goals, as some predicted. Judea-Samaria has not been closed.
The
Nationalists control the next move. If they focus on having been humiliated,
and set their course based upon that, they will lose. But if they build on what Netanyahu has given them, they stand
a chance of creating positive results.
Nothing is guaranteed.
But in the high-stakes game of modern Israel politics, going to battle with a
negative mind-set is not smart, especially when your opponent is probably the
smartest man in the room. In the political version of rock-scissors-paper, ‘smart’
beats ‘negative’ every time.
So what has
Netanyahu given? He has suggested that, if building in Judea-Samaria ‘upholds
the law’, there should be no demolitions. Do Nationalists understand what this
means? They mock Netanyahu’s ‘law’, but they ignore reality. There is evidence
to suggest that everyone connected with the building of the Ulpana homes—the
government, the builder and the community-- had been stupidly careless about legalities.
This is foolish because, if we know that Leftist NGOs are looking to cause
trouble (as they did with Ulpana), why are we so negligent? Yes, this is Israel,
where bureaucracy—and land-purchase issues--are a nightmare. But that begs the
question: with Leftist NGOs looking for a fight, why give them the rope they
need to hang us?
The committee
that the PM creates could establish protocols for tracking and expediting
construction paperwork; it could mid-wife streamlining legal guidelines; and it
could create procedures to handle issues raised by NGOs.
Effective
procedures to address building in Judea-Samaria appear never to have been
adequately implemented. While Leftist lawsuits damage the enterprise, the
problem is not the Left. The problem is the government—and the Right (i.e.,
Nationalists). Government bureaucracy
for Judea-Samaria appears (at best) unsupervised and incompetent—and Jewish
residents pay the price for that incompetence. The Right, meanwhile, too often appears to
ignore all legality. Both need to do better—and that committee could help, if
Nationalists demand seats at the table.
Netanyahu could be lying. He may not be committed to settlement. Nothing
positive could happen. But right now, he has created an opportunity. In a
country run by bureaucracy, committees are not innocuous. They are not
dead-ends. They are often a seat of power. If you are on that committee, you have power.
But to get that power, you must be on the inside.
That’s the
harsh truth: only insiders can win. The
Charedi understand this. So should Nationalists.
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